Real GDP growth
-0.20%
Q2 2023
no change no change versus September 2023
Source: TRREB MarketWatch, October 2023
Economic indicators
October 2023
Toronto employment growth
3.10%
September 2023
+0.1 pp up 0.1 pp versus September 2023
Toronto unemployment rate
6.50%
September 2023
no change no change versus September 2023
Inflation (CPI, year-over-year)
3.80%
September 2023
−0.2 pp down 0.2 pp versus September 2023
Bank of Canada overnight rate
5.00%
October 2023
no change no change versus September 2023
Prime rate
7.20%
October 2023
no change no change versus September 2023
1-year mortgage rate
8.09%
October 2023
+0.3 pp up 0.3 pp versus September 2023
3-year mortgage rate
7.14%
October 2023
+0.1 pp up 0.1 pp versus September 2023
5-year mortgage rate
7.04%
October 2023
+0.2 pp up 0.2 pp versus September 2023
The 5-year mortgage rate rose 0.20 percentage points to 7.04% versus September 2023, raising the cost of carrying a mortgage for buyers financing at that term.
Interest and mortgage rates
13 months to October 2023
| Month | Bank of Canada overnight rate | Prime rate | 1-year mortgage rate | 3-year mortgage rate | 5-year mortgage rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct '22 | 3.8 | 5.5 | 6.09 | 6.04 | 6.49 |
| Nov '22 | 3.8 | 6 | 6.09 | 6.04 | 6.49 |
| Dec '22 | 4.3 | 6.5 | 6.34 | 6.14 | 6.49 |
| Jan '23 | 4.5 | 6.5 | 6.34 | 6.14 | 6.49 |
| Feb '23 | 4.5 | 6.7 | 6.34 | 6.14 | 6.49 |
| Mar '23 | 4.5 | 6.7 | 6.29 | 6.14 | 6.49 |
| Apr '23 | 4.5 | 6.7 | 6.29 | 6.14 | 6.49 |
| May '23 | 4.5 | 6.7 | 6.29 | 6.14 | 6.49 |
| Jun '23 | 4.8 | 7 | 7.14 | 6.54 | 6.49 |
| Jul '23 | 5 | 7.2 | 7.49 | 6.54 | 6.49 |
| Aug '23 | 5 | 7.2 | 7.89 | 6.89 | 6.79 |
| Sep '23 | 5 | 7.2 | 7.79 | 7.04 | 6.84 |
| Oct '23 | 5 | 7.2 | 8.09 | 7.14 | 7.04 |
Rates and prices together
5-year mortgage rate and TRREB average price
5-year mortgage rate
| Month | 5-year rate |
|---|---|
| Oct '22 | 6.49 |
| Nov '22 | 6.49 |
| Dec '22 | 6.49 |
| Jan '23 | 6.49 |
| Feb '23 | 6.49 |
| Mar '23 | 6.49 |
| Apr '23 | 6.49 |
| May '23 | 6.49 |
| Jun '23 | 6.49 |
| Jul '23 | 6.49 |
| Aug '23 | 6.79 |
| Sep '23 | 6.84 |
| Oct '23 | 7.04 |
TRREB average price
| Month | Average price |
|---|---|
| Oct '22 | 1089428 |
| Nov '22 | 1079395 |
| Dec '22 | 1051216 |
| Jan '23 | 1038668 |
| Feb '23 | 1095617 |
| Mar '23 | 1108606 |
| Apr '23 | 1153269 |
| May '23 | 1196101 |
| Jun '23 | 1182120 |
| Jul '23 | 1118374 |
| Aug '23 | 1082496 |
| Sep '23 | 1119428 |
| Oct '23 | 1125928 |
Shown side by side rather than on one dual-axis chart. Two scales sharing an axis invites the eye to read a relationship from where the lines happen to cross, which is an artifact of the scaling, not the data.
Source notes
Sources and Notes - Statistics Canada, Quarter-over-quarter growth, annualized. ii - Statistics Canada, Year-over-year growth for the most recently reported