Source: TRREB MarketWatch, March 2024

Economic indicators

March 2024

Real GDP growth

1.00%

Q4 2023

no change no change versus February 2024

Toronto employment growth

1.70%

February 2024

−0.7 pp down 0.7 pp versus February 2024

Toronto unemployment rate

7.10%

February 2024

+0.3 pp up 0.3 pp versus February 2024

Inflation (CPI, year-over-year)

2.80%

February 2024

−0.1 pp down 0.1 pp versus February 2024

Bank of Canada overnight rate

5.00%

March 2024

no change no change versus February 2024

Prime rate

7.20%

March 2024

no change no change versus February 2024

1-year mortgage rate

7.84%

March 2024

no change no change versus February 2024

3-year mortgage rate

6.99%

March 2024

no change no change versus February 2024

5-year mortgage rate

6.84%

March 2024

no change no change versus February 2024

The 5-year mortgage rate held at 6.84% versus February 2024, so financing costs were essentially unchanged month-over-month.

Interest and mortgage rates

13 months to March 2024

Bank of Canada overnight rate, prime rate, and 1-, 3- and 5-year mortgage rates over the 13 months ending March 2024.
Month Bank of Canada overnight ratePrime rate1-year mortgage rate3-year mortgage rate5-year mortgage rate
Mar '23 4.56.76.296.146.49
Apr '23 4.56.76.296.146.49
May '23 4.56.76.296.146.49
Jun '23 4.877.146.546.49
Jul '23 57.27.496.546.49
Aug '23 57.27.896.896.79
Sep '23 57.27.797.046.84
Oct '23 57.28.097.147.04
Nov '23 57.28.097.247.04
Dec '23 57.27.897.247.04
Jan '24 57.27.847.046.89
Feb '24 57.27.846.996.84
Mar '24 57.27.846.996.84

Rates and prices together

5-year mortgage rate and TRREB average price

5-year mortgage rate

5-year mortgage rate over the 13 months ending March 2024.
Month 5-year rate
Mar '23 6.49
Apr '23 6.49
May '23 6.49
Jun '23 6.49
Jul '23 6.49
Aug '23 6.79
Sep '23 6.84
Oct '23 7.04
Nov '23 7.04
Dec '23 7.04
Jan '24 6.89
Feb '24 6.84
Mar '24 6.84

TRREB average price

TRREB average selling price over the 13 months ending March 2024.
Month Average price
Mar '23 1108606
Apr '23 1153269
May '23 1196101
Jun '23 1182120
Jul '23 1118374
Aug '23 1082496
Sep '23 1119428
Oct '23 1125928
Nov '23 1082179
Dec '23 1084692
Jan '24 1026703
Feb '24 1108720
Mar '24 1121615

Shown side by side rather than on one dual-axis chart. Two scales sharing an axis invites the eye to read a relationship from where the lines happen to cross, which is an artifact of the scaling, not the data.

Source notes

Sources and Notes - Statistics Canada, Quarter-over-quarter growth, annualized. ii - Statistics Canada, Year-over-year growth for the most recently reported